Dele Momodu, director of strategic communications of the
Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) campaign, says Atiku Abubakar would garner the
required 25 percent of the votes in all 19 northern states.
The Ovation Magazine publisher spoke in a chat with Arise TV
on Monday.
According to the Nigerian constitution, to be elected the
president, a candidate must secure the highest number of votes and the required
25 percent in two-thirds of the 36 states of the federation.
Momodu said Atiku is the only “mainstream candidate” from
the north and would have no problem sweeping the region.
He said the PDP candidate would cross the 24 states
threshold by polling 25 percent of the votes in five states in the south.
“Atiku is going to get all his 25 percent in the 19 northern
states. And all he will need to cross 24 states will be just five in the
south,” Momodu said.
“In the south, wherever Obi is number one, Atiku will be
number two. Where Tinubu is number one, Atiku will be number two. And he will
also pick some states in the south.
“The mathematical
side of an election must be combined with factors that spur people to vote. The
number one factor is ethnicity. In Nigeria, we have different major ethnic
groups. And each of them is deeply entrenched.
“The majority of Tinubu supporters in the south-west support
him because he is a Yoruba man. In the north, you have one mainstream candidate
that is Atiku. The mathematical side of it is that the north already has 19
states in its three regions while the south has 17. The south is already at a
disadvantage.
“The history of it is that whenever we have two strong south
candidates, it is always difficult, if not impossible, to defeat the mainstream
northern candidate.”
The presidential election is billed to hold on February 25
with Atiku contesting against three other leading candidates — Bola Tinubu of
the All Progressives Congress (APC), Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP)) and
Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).
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