Alhaji Atiku Abubakar is projected to win the Nigerian 2023
election scheduled for February 25, 2023. The interim report from nine months
study led by Dr. Oludare Ogunlana of June Group Research and Council for
African Security Affairs (CASA) with other Intelligence practitioners in the
United States, Europe, and Nigeria pointed to the candidate of the Peoples
Democratic Party of Nigeria as a potential winner. Atiku was rated higher than
other candidates from All Progressive Congress (APC) and Labour Party (LP), and
New Nigeria Peoples’ Party (NNPP), using four key variables: political
geography, Religion, Resources, and Class.
According to the group, “The study’s scope is limited to
observing political actors and interviews with stakeholders in organizations
from across six zones of Nigeria and the Nigerians in the Diaspora: political
leaders, women groups, religious organizations, civil societies, trade unions,
and youth organizations. In each interview, we focused on five areas: the
personality of the candidates, ethnic influence, religion, power of incumbency,
voters’ behavior, emotions’ role, political socialization, and tolerance of
diversity of political views. The study that started in May 2022 accurately
predicted the outcome of the PDP and APC primaries and the emergence of Alh
Atiku Abubakar and Senator Bola Tinubu as candidates for their respective
parties.
“We identified where the political influencers, religious
leaders, organizations, and Nigerians in the Diaspora stood with voting
President in February 2023 and how it aligned to victory for each candidate. In
addition, we gathered data from facilitated workshops and interactive survey
sessions with Nigerian political thought leaders, which include lawyers,
political activists, and former and current serving political office holders.
“While we respect various polls that have put a particular
candidate as the preferred candidate to win the election, we state that data
alone does not speak for itself significantly when such data is based on
manipulation and sectional polling. The result of every data must be put into
context, including understanding the people, culture, pattern, geographical
spread of the platform, and historical antecedents.
“In conclusion, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar is
expected to garner 64% from the three zones in the North, rake 45% from the
South-South region where his running mates come from, acquire 37 % from the
South-East with 27% from the South-West, which is the stronghold of the APC
candidate.”
Advertise on NigerianEye.com to reach thousands of our daily users
No comments
Post a Comment
Kindly drop a comment below.
(Comments are moderated. Clean comments will be approved immediately)
Advert Enquires - Reach out to us at NigerianEye@gmail.com