For the second time in less than a week, Dele Momodu, the
Director of Strategic Communications of the Peoples Democratic Party
Presidential Campaign Council, has said the party’s candidate, Atiku Abubakar,
will be elected President of Nigeria in the next month’s election.
Momodu in a statement on Monday, dismissed polls conducted
by surveying agencies which predicted victories for either Bola Tinubu of the
All Progressives Congress or Labour Party’s Peter Obi in the past few months.
He said, “I have read with bemusement many of the polls
about the forthcoming presidential election on February 25, 2023, and have come
to the conclusion that the elitist polls have failed monumentally due to the
over-reliance on technology in a largely illiterate population.
“I have decided to help situate the forecasts based on the
established political history of Nigeria and empirical data.
“A presidential candidate cannot depend totally on votes
from outside his home base to win this election. It is a fact of history that
whenever the South produced two strong candidates, the dominant northern
candidate won, such as in 1979 and 1983, Obafemi Awolowo and Nnamdi Azikiwe
versus Shehu Shagari.
“Tinubu is far weaker today in the South-West and Awolowo
was by far more formidable, while Obi is the new Azikiwe (the first Governor
General and President of Nigeria) in the South-East, and Kwankwaso is the
current Aminu Kano.
“Atiku will dominate the North-East, North-West, North-Central
and South-South. Tinubu may pick a few states in the North and South-West but
won’t have enough to win. The bridges required to cross to victory has taken
Atiku 30 years to build. Tinubu has not been able to lock down the entire
South-West not to talk of the whole of Nigeria. Over-reliance on bribing the
electorates will fail.”
According to him, the reliance on rigging will fail
woefully, saying, “Hoping to rig brazenly will also fail spectacularly. I
repeat, the entire North and the South-South will make Atiku the next
President. Atiku will still be competitive in the South-East and South-West.
“Wherever Obi is number one in the East, Atiku will be
number two. Wherever Tinubu is number one in the South-West, Atiku will be
number two or vice versa. Atiku will be the first to cross the line of
recording 25 per cent in 24 states. He will get 25 per cent automatically in
the 19 states of northern regions and will pick six in the South-South
automatically.
“He will pick up 25 per cent in all of the five states in
the South-East, a traditional base of the PDP, and the same in the South-West.
Wherever Obi is number one, Atiku will be number two or vice versa.
“I do not know if in any state, the PDP will not record 25
per cent and eventually win the overall popular votes. Nigeria has become so
divided that the people are going to vote majorly along ethnic lines as well as
primordial sentiments.
“The North will not vote for a “fake Muslim” in the name of
a pretentious and mischievous Muslim/Muslim ticket. The scam is dead on
arrival,” he declared.
Justifying this position, Momodu argued that “The North East
will never vote for a number two position when they have been chasing the
number one since 1966. The North West will not abandon an Atiku for a Tinubu
who is well known for his iron grip on Lagos State since 1999.
“The South-West itself knows it has the most controversial
and palpably weakest candidate in this race this time and would humbly and
readily accept its fate with equanimity.
“It will also dawn on the South-East that Obi’s raving
popularity alone cannot carry him across the winning line and many of their
traditional voters will willingly settle for Atiku and Ifeanyi Okowa, the
cerebral man and gentle giant of Igbo ancestry.
“I predict that former Atiku will be the next President. He
is the most prepared and experienced candidate in the race who is ready to hit
the ground running from day one. Nigerians will experience real politicking in
the days ahead,” he added.
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