A prominent Islamic scholar, Dr
Ahmad Abubakar Mahmud Gumi, has declared that Nigeria will disintegrate and that
the North will suffer most compared to the other regions.
According to him, in the face of
a possible break up, the Southwest will be relatively stable; Southeast will be
stable, but the North will be volatile.
Narrating what Nigeria will be
like if disintegrated, the cleric said, “I see chaos and probably Nigeria can
even disintegrate. And disintegration will be bad for Nigeria,” he was quoted
by Sun.
“Let me tell you about the North
if there is disintegration. The worst thing any country will like is to have an
unstable country as a neighbour.
“So, Southwest will be relatively
stable; Southeast will be stable, but the North will be volatile. How can we
contain Boko Haram in the Northeast? No way.
“How can we contain the problem
of the herdsmen in the North? We cannot contain them.
“In fact, the little weight the
Southwest and Southeast are adding to fight them is what is suppressing them,
but if you go and leave us with them we will just eat ourselves and you have a
very volatile North and I do not think we will have peace there because the
borders are not barbed-wires and there are so many inter-marriages.
“In fact, Nigeria will just be
like another Lebanon or Yemen. Nobody can control the North because nobody has
monopoly of power in the North.
“The herdsmen, if they have any
iota of political acumen, even if they are evil since your man is in power what
do you do? You lie low to allow him to have the power.
“You don’t become so virulent
that you end up destroying the northern power by attacking people everywhere
not caring who is there. Let me tell you this.
“Nobody is in control of the
North now. No northern politician has that clout to embrace everybody in the
North.
“Everybody in the North is with
his clique and that is a very dangerous situation for the country. The
Southwest is divided into two equal house and nobody is in control there too,
but generally, the people there are not violent.
“They can negotiate and stay in
peace. The people of the Southeast seem to understand each other because their
own is business. I see it to be more stable even though the Kanu IPOB people
are there because generally the population there can understand and negotiate.
“They can only have population
problem if people ask them to go back to their region. But the North? So, you
can just imagine.”
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