George Santayana says: “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.” If Nigerians were not so forgetful, we would not now be saddled with the burdensome presidency of Muhammadu Buhari.
In his first coming as military head-of-state in 1984, Buhari took Nigeria’s economy from bad to worse. Under him, our national debt rose from $14 billion to $18 billion in less than two years, with the result that Nigeria was no longer able to meet its financial obligations to global bankers. We had to queue for essential commodities, such as bread and milk, which were hard to find. Raw materials and spare parts needed to keep factories running were scarce. Rather than create jobs, tens of thousands of workers lost their jobs. Inflation rose to the astronomical level of 40 percent.
When Buhari seized power, Nigeria’s GDP was $444. When he was overthrown in 1985, Nigeria’s GDP had dropped dramatically to $344. When Buhari seized power, one dollar exchanged for 0.724 naira. But by the time he was overthrown, one dollar exchanged for 0.894 naira; a 23 percent devaluation in barely two years. It was not surprising, therefore, that there was wild jubilation throughout the length and breadth of Nigeria when Buhari was overthrown.
Litany of failure
History is now repeating itself in Nigeria. Since electing Buhari as president one year ago, Nigeria’s GDP has plummeted, with the economy suffering a negative growth in the first quarter of 2016; the worst in 25 years. Prices have skyrocketed. Investors have packed their bags and left Nigeria. Job losses and lay-offs have increased geometrically. Petrol stations have surreptitiously doubled their prices. Nigeria is now on the cusp of a recession.
Buhari was handed over $30 billion in foreign reserves by the Jonathan administration. He inherited over $2.5 billion in the Sovereign Wealth Fund; $1.4 billion in the ECA; and $4.65 billion in back taxes from NLNG. But virtually all of these have been squandered in one year of gross incompetence.
The president took the illegal and ill-advised step of providing N713 billion as bailout for insolvent state governments, without the approval of the national assembly, only to discover that those monies were squandered and not even used as intended to pay salary arrears. He squandered billions of dollars defending doggedly an unrealistic official value of the naira, only to finally admit defeat after the damage had been done.
Billions of dollars were mopped up by corrupt officials and shrewd middlemen who obtained dollars at the official N200 to $1 rate, only to sell this for huge profit at the N380 to $1 black market rate.
Babatunde Fashola boasted while in opposition that: “A serious government will fix the power problem in six months.” Now in office as minister of Power for over six months, power blackouts have been unprecedented under his watch, condemning the Buhari administration by his own words as a most unserious government.
Change for worse
Ex-president Goodluck Jonathan and President Buhari |
Goodluck Jonathan warned Nigerians about the bankruptcy of Buhari and the APC. His words have now become prophetic. He said in the heat of the 2015 election campaign: “The choice before Nigerians in the coming election is simple. It is a choice between going forward and backward, between the new ways and old ways, between freedom and repression, between a record of visible achievements and beneficial reforms and desperate power seekers with empty promises.”
After 365 days of a disastrous Buhari presidency, only diehard Buharimanics can deny that Jonathan’s warning has not come true. Propaganda has an expiration date, and it must now be abundantly clear that the expiration date for the hot air of Buhari’s government has long passed. Many of those like Dele Sobowale, Oby Ezekwesili and Wole Soyinka, who sang the praises of Buhari during the 2015 election, are already having a buyer’s remorse. Most Nigerians now realise they have been sold a fake bill of goods by Buhari and the APC.
Buhari’s maladroit approach to Nigeria’s diversity has created new fissures. Fulani herdsmen continue to kill innocent farmers while Buhari sees no evil and hears no evil. We are now saddled with a burgeoning secessionist movement that gets more incendiary by the day as the government continues to violate Nigerians’ right to self-assembly by shooting down pro-Biafra activists.
Even more devastating is the fact that Buhari’s body language of Northern domination has energised an irredentist movement in the Niger Delta dedicated to blowing up Nigeria’s economic jugular of oil pipelines and installations. As a result, Shell has had to shut down its Forcados terminal. Chevron’s Escravos operation has been breached. ENI and Exxon Mobil have declared “force majeure.” The outcome is that Nigeria’s oil production is now down from 2.2 million barrels a day to 1.4 million.
Under the circumstances, how can the government possibly celebrate its one-year anniversary except by attempting to pull the wool over the eyes of Nigerians? What precisely can Buhari claim credit for in his one year of a woeful, do-nothing presidency?
Sound and fury signaling nothing
In his speech to Nigerians on his anniversary, the president claimed: “We identified forty-three thousand ghost workers through the Integrated Payroll and Personnel Information system.” This is a case of taking credit where it is not due because of the failure to achieve. The Integrated Payroll and Personnel Information system is a legacy of the PDP administration. It was introduced by Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala in 2007. Therefore, it is disingenuous for Buhari to try to get credit for it.
Buhari also said: “The first steps along the path of self-sufficiency in rice, wheat and sugar, big users of our scarce foreign exchange, have been taken.” But Mr. President, the first steps were not taken by your government. If we are well on the way to self-sufficiency in food production, it is because of steps taken by the Jonathan administration, under the transformative leadership of the Akinwunmi Adesina as minister of Agriculture.
It was under Jonathan that dry-season rice farming was introduced, enabling Nigeria to reach 60 percent self-sufficiency in rice production. It was under Jonathan in 2014, and not under your administration in 2015/16, that Olam Rice Farm, the biggest rice-processing mill in Africa, with 105,000 metric tons capacity, was commissioned in Rukubi, Nasarawa State.
The president said furthermore: “We are projecting non-oil revenues to surpass proceeds from oil.” Again, this would not be as a result of any government-induced improvement in the non-oil sector of the economy but would simply be as a result of the decline in oil prices.
Buhari acolytes fanned out in the media, giving him credit for the TSA, even though it was the brainchild of the Jonathan administration. They credit him with the TSA, not realising its imprudent timing has provoked the widespread sacking of bank employees. They claim bombastically that as much as N2.2 trillion has been saved through the TSA. At the same time, Lai Mohammed and Rotimi Amaechi are sent to convince Nigerians the country is broke.
Buharimaniacs even claim the president’s outrageous 30 junkets abroad within the year of Nigeria’s economic adversity has ensured Nigeria is no longer a pariah nation. However, Nigeria was not a pariah nation before Buhari came: Nigeria has become a pariah nation since the coming of Buhari. Before Buhari, Nigeria was the number one destination-country for foreign investments in Africa. Since Buhari’s arrival, foreign investor have left in droves.
Goodbye to change
To demonstrate to Nigerians that his anti-corruption policy is achieving great success, Buhari promised to publish the names of those who had returned looted money to the government. This would confirm once and for all that the government’s anti-corruption programme is an effective tool for re-harnessing the nation’s lost resources.
But having won plaudits for this pledge, the government no longer had any need for it. It soon became another casualty of its APC (All Promises Cancelled) tendency. No sooner had the promise been made than the announcement came that the government would no longer be releasing the names. But should a president make promises without first thinking it through? Would this tendency not convince the international community that the government of Nigeria cannot be trusted?
The government’s last-minute excuse that it changed its mind because it does not want to embarrass those returning the monies is not credible. This administration routinely leaks to the press the names of those under investigation by EFCC. That means it names publicly those accused of corruption even when they have not been convicted of corruption. Now it wants us to believe it is reticent about naming those who took government money and agreed to return them.
The government’s disdain for promises made continue. On May 30th, 2016, while hosting State House correspondents in Aso Rock, the president told Nigerians the change mantra on which he fought and won the 2015 election has been thrown out of the window. He said: “We recently just found out that we are poor because we don’t have anything to fall back to. This is the condition we found ourselves and this change mantra had to go through hell up till yesterday.”
Having suddenly discovered, after one year in office, that rich Nigeria is actually poor, the president then sent Lai Mohammed to tell Nigerians the government has recovered a whopping $9 billion of loot from PDP politicians. Just how poor does that make the government?
Contradictions galore
It is more than abundantly clear that the Buhari administration simply cannot be truthful. How can the government be poor, and at the same time have $9 billion recovered from looters? How can the government have $9 billion recovered, yet it went cap-in-hand to the Chinese seeking a loan of $2 billion? If $9 billion has been recovered, then Nigeria is not broke. If $9 billion has been recovered, the government should now be able to fulfil its failed campaign promises.
This is what the president said one year earlier: “The monies we realise from anti-corruption campaign will be adequately used to improve education in the country.” “The money saved will finance jobs, health-care and the provision of social safety net for the needy, weak and vulnerable of our land.” In which case, many of our problems should soon be over if in fact the government’s anti-corruption campaign has been as effective as we are now meant to believe.
But if you believe the government has actually recovered $9 billion from treasury looters, then you have learnt nothing about this government in the past year. The truth of the matter is that whatever this government says must be taken with a very large grain of salt. Adams Oshiomhole had told Nigerians a U.S. government official revealed to him that one single Nigerian stole a massive $6 billion under the Jonathan administration. So how come the government has only managed to recover $9 billion from the entire country after one year of highfalutin media hype?
The government’s approach of revealing unverifiable figures of recovered loot without the names of those from whom they were recovered reeks of corruption for lack of transparency. If, as I have maintained elsewhere, Lai Mohammed is Nigeria’s version of Iraq’s Comical Ali, then the recovered $9 billion must be synonymous to Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction which could nowhere be found.
There is no way of knowing if the figures released by the government are true or fiction, because the names of those allegedly returning the money are not mentioned alongside how much they returned. If they are named and shamed, the looters themselves can verify if the amount declared is more or less than what they returned. Covering up the names simply provides avenues for whatever loot is recovered to be re-looted by government accomplices.
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Truth is bitter but only d truth can set one free. Lie lie Mohammed, pls tell us d truth. I guess d sound of ur name will not allow u to do that
ReplyDeleteApc is false party.
ReplyDeleteTruly the worst ever...........
ReplyDeleteWelcome back Sir, I was wondering were you have been. I have missed your synchronized and logical analysis of the state of our union Nigeria.
ReplyDeleteI also miss Chief Femi Kayodo who this government is keeping behind bars. I pray his release so he can continue telling us what very few of us venture to speak. May God Almighty give you good health and long life. More grease to your elbows.
Aribisala is such an intelligent and objective write. I always want rea his articles. He calls a spade a spade.
ReplyDeleteGood write up Femi. You have spoken blindly well and surely you're ageing more than you know. All the lessons learned from your foolish grammatical construction is that if the government of the day were to be that of GEJ Nigeria would be better! End to corruption, insurgency, economic crisis, and the likes. In one year you devote yourself to antagonizing a government showing spirited efforts in governance. Buhari may not have got it completely right but truth is which government who inherited a bleeding nation turns the tide around in 372 days. Sir, you must be smoking real weed. To oppose is good, but oppose constructively and with common sense. Is PMB looting our Treasury? Hasn't PMB engaged the NDA agitators in dialogue, hasn't PMB enforced TSA? What's the score card on insurgency? Isn't he recovering part of GEJ loots? Kindky tell me Aribisala, did GEJ do anything about ogoniland and was he latched by your stupid write ups. Until 4 years, then I shall vote. You all thought Nigerians are better during GEJ cos of the looted funds circulating everywhere, is that good governance? When we go through this economic and social crisis, we shall become better under this man with a vision, I call him PMB.
ReplyDeleteWht you call him is entirely ur business...no one needs a prophet to know Nigeria is gradually becoming a failed state under the watch of an old blatant lier..some people like Damilola that have decided not to believe the truth go ahead supporting a confused man
DeleteFemi, We need you around for more blind comments. Surely you will receive praises, in that you have performed burial rites for Buhari many times before he even won the presidential elections. A man you have so judged in one year, who consolidated on the positive actions of the past government and not fooish like you in not starting all over, you blame him as if he's the reason you don't have a successful Christian ministry. Your thoughts process is distorted and you manupilate only gullible Nigerians with your outdated rhetorics. As old as you are, have you ever contributed anything to the economic and political growth of the nation other than form fake opposition against tithe and offering in churches and PMB elections.
ReplyDeleteU are true to Ur name- 'ODE!'
DeleteSo Buhari is consolidating on the positive actions of the past administration? I thought they said the past administration was a failed one.
DeleteEl MATOSKY, I thought you have been incarcerated. Thank God you have little life left. Come up with a real comment and let's do it. Your primary School certificate should be enough for you to make intellectual contribution on this platform. God punish your generation.
Delete@ Damilola Odewunmi, it's a pity you're dead to reasoning and truth calling people names. Nevertheless, I will always pray for you.
DeleteThese men know the truth but will all be spitting lies, all because they want to be noticed. How much was paid for this write up Sir?
ReplyDelete@ adekola Adedokun not everyone is like you bribe taker. You know not your right from your left yet you take pleasure consuming yourself in your ignorance
DeleteYou are comparing both administration....What have we really achieved with PDP in the helm of affairs....if I may, why did America not show the corpse of Osama Bin Laden as a proof that he was killed during America's raid? They have their reasons...I believe buhari changed his mind towards revealing their names and his decision should be respected....pls stop your anti-APC campaign....the integrated payroll and personal information system you said was established by Jonathan....if it was properly implemented by Jonathan's administration we would not such high rate of ghost workers....give buhari credit for implementing and flushing out ghost workers...most of this so-called information you spread across is just to sabotage and kill Nigerians trust on the govt becos the govt is legitimate...pls patience is required....just one year in office
ReplyDeleteThis Femi....why would you compare GEJ four years to PMB one year in office...Bokoharam declared a caliphate in Nigeria under GEJ....compare to what PMB has done to insurgency....give Buhari some credit...when buhari came to power the country was in turmoil...but he has stabilized the country when it comes to security...pls shut your mouth Femi
ReplyDeleteNelson boko haram is a scam during gej over 105,000 ghost worker was discovered so what are you insinuating
DeleteIt is a painful thing that nigerians easily forget history most learned nation with short memory.
ReplyDeleteNelson, Damilola and co. You don't need to insult the writer but be constructive as the writer brought up issues that affect us as a nation. You don't gain anytin by hero worshiping PMB and govt who do not even care about you. We should rather hold our govt (PMB or GEJ) accountable to deliver better life for all.
ReplyDeleteMr Anonymous, because you probably did not read the entire article by Femi Aribisala you couldn't find the enormous elements of insult contained it. Besides, who cares about insult anyway. We all wrote points to support our convictions.
Delete@ Damilola Odewunmi, you lost every respect by every contribution you make. For you're making public show of your emptiness
Delete...what do U expect from someone called "Ode?" - MUMU!
DeleteDon't you know he has Toronto certificate. Ode!
DeleteNigerians are not forgetful but when many corrupt people liters everywhere in Nigeria, including yourself, who is knowledgeable but because of personal benefits fails to say the truth and condemn corruption, somebody like Buhari and APC is the best alternative. Please tell the people the necessary truth and not cooking up sentiments for a better Nigeria
ReplyDeleteFour years is not four decades are hope you know that? The clock is ticking and time is counting! Soon another year will roll by and I sincerely hope this government and her sheepish followers or supporters will not continue to dwell and lament over same issues. Truth be told this regime is definitely not progressive.
DeleteAribisala you're indeed a failed person. If to say you're not in this country during Gej till today i cud have curse you. But you were here and you all saw what happened under Jonathan if you're are a sincere writer you wouldn't compare it to Buhari's 1 year except that you're a selfish person trying to confuse ppls minds. You're a disappointment to your region
ReplyDelete@Destroyed Prince can you please stop destroying the Prince in you by been reasonable. À failure is a failure from the ver on set, must you wait for years to know that. A man with vision need not years to distinguish self.
Delete@Destroyed Prince can you please stop destroying the Prince in you by been reasonable. À failure is a failure from the ver on set, must you wait for years to know that. A man with vision need not years to distinguish self.
DeleteThe MUMU Prince is destroyed already, he is just waiting for HUNGER to finish him up.
DeleteThis is a brilliant piece. All those criticizing this truth in Aribisala write up are idiotic and sentimental Buharimanic fools.
ReplyDeleteBut y must d always lie and deceive d ppl. Y not com clean credit must be given 2 gej cos he was silent on his work and we all saw his efforts on trying 2 curb d new and strange insurgency. If buhari was d messiah as he claim wy dialuoge wit d militants d insurgency war was almost won during gej and dis new man has takenn d credit now ppl are turning blind eye and surpoting ppl 4 are driving us 2 stone age Abeg make una park well MR and miss APC
ReplyDeleteMy Anonymous 7.35am , the corruption talk is no longer in vogue.pls face realities. Snapshot: A govt that threatens banks it does not own with license withdrawal and one that goes to UK for medical evaluation which it condemned ? what do you call that ? wake up ! am sure you are all paid APC agents. propaganda can only win you elections but will not do the job of governance
ReplyDeleteWell said Femi, don't mind APC blind supporters always disregarding arguements claiming its not constructive enough. What is not constructive about the present dollar rate selling at N380, what is not constructive about investors pulling away in large numbers, mass sack, nose diving of our economy, what is not constructivee about price of food items skyrocketting (even garri) ?
ReplyDeleteIn that case, when will our arguements be seen as constructive ? A lot of popl here were not born in the 60s so they won't understand the effect of history repeating itself, they needed anyone but GEJ. We can only hope the next three years be better cause no one knows tomorrow but Buharis one year in office is a huge setback.
I am a teacher, so I will use an academic analogy. One year out of four is
ReplyDelete25%. President Buhari still has a chance to make an A, since he still has 75% marks pending (3 years left). If you come to a class and demoralize a student who failed a continuous assessment that is only 25%, you may be in for a surprise when that student picks up 70 marks out of the 75 left. I counsel patience, Aribisala. Make haste in condemning PMB slowly.Elders are cautious in whatever they say. You have my respect.
Your Analogy is true only if the student sees his 25% as fail and need to improve. But a student who refused to see is first assessment as fail will can't improve but will also argue for the 75% after failing. Also, when people like Destroyed Prince, Damilola n Nelson praise the student 25% failure has pass then there will be no room for motivation n improvement but more failures
DeleteYou be Burukutu teacher. I wonder the kind of things you teach. It is a pity you are teaching people children if this is the kind of useless and stupid analogy you can make. It shows that you are a terribly bad teacher, Idiot
DeleteWhat kind of educated illiterate we have here 'people children'....you are the idiot who cannot even make a statement in simply and correct English...all the writer you are referring to is saying is that we cannot make a conclusive judgement about buhari just one into office and also we should stop comparing with GEJ who ruled for 6yrs...criticize properly..
DeleteAribisala, an elder per excellent! an erudite writer and an objective analysts! we need people like you who serves as a conscience for the society.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately some people appear before the screen to rain insult which is not necessary, keep writing sir, i personally missed you.
The Government and their followers would not tolerate criticsm, but right on! Nigeria will be better again.
The writer has not condemn the Government but an objective analysis for all to see.
The writer has condemned the government but you may not agree cos according to you we have "a Government and their followers". Fact is Aribisala has compared facts that things are not okay but not given reasons why they have not been okay and was quick to point out the credentials of the past administration in the results recorded today and not tell us the "wounds" the past administration inflicted on Nigeria that we are still bearing today. Nigeria is really a zoo.
DeleteWe don't need sentiment but patient, condemning recent president is a big mistake in one year at office sir. You have my respect too
ReplyDeleteI must commend Femi for rehearsing his role status aspirations (future PDP Spoke person, just like Lanre Olayinka, ride on with your competition with Lanre. Femi,could you please inform the public about your successes in the Ministry you founded and your aims to distort biblical principles.
ReplyDeleteNow the real issues: you failed to inform us on what precedes Buhari 1st and 2nd rescue missions - bleeding economy. you also forgot to note that Okonjo Iweala had prior to the elections informed Nigerians to brace up for Austerity measures; you probably forgot that policies without implementations are just mere dreams, either TSA or integrated payroll. The states had technically became insolvent prior to the APC government.
Please desist from distorted messages to your followers and the general public; governance and policies are continuum if stability is to be achieved so it is kidding to even say one government was the initiator of a certain policy. The World is waiting to hear you condemn the lootings and bleeding of Nigeria by your party and as a Pastor. God bless Nigeria and save her from people who circumvent and murder the truth for selfish motives.
@Jendor you must be a fool for saying the truth, they have also referred to me as fool for pointing the attentions of the real fools on this platform to the real truth. Femi Aribisala can fool all others except me, he plays on the minds of gullible followers and those who aren't student of history. They never pay attention to precausor of the economic downturn, they believe Buhari is responsible for Nigeria woes after a prediction by GEJ chief economist and minister of finance. Their grandfather, aka Aribisala makes the government of GEJ appear like what should have continued despite proven monumental financial crimes, corruption, insecurity and fake economic successes. This is social media and we comment because we have the balls. Stop coming as Anonymous, let me refer to you by your name just like you have seen mine and Jendor. I insist, Aribisala sees no good coming from Buhari in the first instance why should I reckon with his nonsense article standing the truth on its head? Blaming the government after a year of effort is madness spiced by old age. You don't have my respect!!!
Deletebut really how has this much talked about "recovered loot" changed the life of the common Nigerian?
ReplyDeleteA lot of us on this platform prefer to argue blindly. Our emotions rule our sense of reasoning. I expect a lot of us here to be adults. Are you telling me Buhari hasn't told us lies? Are you telling me that he doesn't know that Nigeria needs to be restructured economically and socio-politically for it to come out unscathed from its current deplorable state. Those of us who think Jonathan was the beginning and end of Nigeria's problems are parochial and see things from a worms' eye view point. What happens to the useless lopsided polity we run? Nigeria will continue to fail as long as we continue promoting strong individuals as against strong institutions. Until President Buhari takes the bull by the horn and restructures Nigeria with all sense of sincerity, he may just end up the worst president Nigeria ever had. Haters mark my word.
ReplyDeletelet us all continue to pray for this country,insulting statements or argument will not help.
ReplyDeleteI read well and acknowledged your right up, but is success of an administration measured by the balance in foreign reserved. I respect the present administration, at least, the introduction of TSA, flushing of ghost workers, instill in some discipline sort of, blocking of fraud loopholes.
ReplyDeleteThough, campaign promises ain't met yet but the only one it cud be met is to create institutions void of fraud and corruption. Most Nigerians don't think of what they cud do for Naija, all they think is what Naija can do for them. We should just forget about blame game, lez join hands to get and make the Nigeria we all crave for.
GOD BLESS NIGERIA and NIGERIANS.