With less than a week to the presidential election of March 28, a survey carried out by a National Think Tank Group, has predicted victory for the candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), General Muhammadu Buhari. The two-page analysis of the survey, tagged: “Straw Prediction of 2015 Presidential Election”, made available by Dr. Peter Orji, gave Buhari/APC an estimated votes of 15.4 million and President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 11 million
.
The researchers stated that they arrived at the figures after “a careful study of the demographics of Nigeria voting patterns,based on an unbiased analysis of how voters shall cast their votes.”
According to the group, Buhari would lead in the North-East, North- West, North-Central and South-West, while Jonathan would win in the South-South and South-East.
The survey said Buhari would eventually have an upper hand going by heavy votes he would record in his catchment areas against Jonathan, who the survey said, would garner fewer votes in his areas of strength.
However, unlike 2011, General Buhari, the survey said, “will secure substantial votes in the North-Central and greatly improve his showing in the South-East.”
The survey summed up the distribution of the votes across the zones thus: “North-Central, PDP, 1.73million, APC, 1.86million. North-East, PDP, 1.3million, APC, 2.55million. North- West, PDP 2.15million, APC, 5.65million. South-East, PDP 1.65million, APC, 650,000. South-South, PDP, 2,.2million APC, 1.7million. South- West, PDP, 2million, APC, 2.9million. FCT, PDP, 150,000, APC, 200,000.
In summary, the survey revealed that, “the APC candidate will carry all the states in North-West and North- East and will win marginally in North- Central,” saying, “the margin of victory for Gen. Buhari is a staggering 4.4million votes and it is impossible for President Jonathan to close such a margin.”
What would boost Buhari’s victory in the North-East and North-West, the poll explained, would largely be due to expected increase in the voters’ turnout, “whilst the turnout in the South-East and South-South is likely to decrease.
The simple explanation, according to the group, “is that the North-East, North-West and South-West zones feel that their sons, Buhari and Osinbanjo, are on the APC ticket and considering the number of votes accruing to the three zones, Jonathan will find it absolutely impossible to fill the gap.”
While concluding, the group said that, “because of the postponement that occurred five weeks ago, a repeat this time will not go down well with Nigerians who very likely will accuse the administration of having its hand in disrupting the process, and because of the tight timelines to avoid a possible constitutional crisis a shift in the elections this time may become impossible to contemplate.” Click to signup for FREE news updates, latest information and hottest gists everyday
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Sai Buhari
ReplyDeleteThis is a APC's THINK TANK survey, one of the last propaganda strategy that will not help the party. With Buhari's refusal to present himself for the debate, he has lost a golden opportunity to redeem himself. Just as he refused to appear before Oputa panel, he again has demonstrated that Nigerians are nothing before him, yet he want to lead the same nigerians. You have lost our sympathy and we have DECIDED to vote continuity. What Goodluck saaid today, has convinced us that he meant well for this country and we have plegded to give him our votes to complete his mission of transforming the country. GOODLUCK ALL THE WAY!!!!, thats our decision!!!
ReplyDeleteThat's your decision not OUR decision.
DeleteDebate or no debate, sai Buhari has won
DeleteBuhari has won for where? in your dreams I guess
DeleteSay BABA!!!
DeleteGEJ believes in his Dollars, why is why is he boosting on BBC
DeleteNE, Why are you repeating this news. You published it last week. Allow the electorate to decide. 28th march is Here.
ReplyDelete#saynotoviolence
please stop this presidential polls survey, it will scare Jonotin to postpone the election again o.
ReplyDeleteSai buhari......
Nigerians are smarter now. The development of Nigeria cannot depend on luck. We have remained in darkness since Oga Jonah came to power, no improvement. We cannot continue to dwell on empty promises.
ReplyDeleteOga Jonah is more interested in advertisement for vote and sharing dollars to buy voters. Nigerians know better now.
Nigerians say NO to continuity of CORRUPTION. Nigerians say NO to continuity of DARKNESS.
Vote Buhari to arrest CORRUPTION and bring LIGHT for everybody.
Crazy and stupid survey. Jobless miscreants.
ReplyDeletereal jobless miscreants, don't know what this good for nothing Nigerianeye wants to achieve with this stupid survey every week!
DeleteBecause of this fake report , I decamp from APC and Mobilized for GEJ lets see who will be the real winner -shame to APC for their falsehood and deceits. GEJ must be declared winner for continuity.
DeleteRubbish forcast and survey , have u not seen the hand writing on the wall that everybody have decided to vote GEJ & PDP back to power , and you are here conducting fake and rubbish survey to deceive your father and Mother. GEJ has Perform well and we Nigerians wants him to continue. are u cleared-Nama-man
DeleteBuhari is the man of the moment.
ReplyDeleteHistory is about to repeat itself. Rewind to IBB's 1993 transition elections. IBB & gang had wanted and infact was confident of Tofa victory over MKO. On the appointed day, the results trickled in but the Junta was shocked when Tofa lost his home state...the rest is history!
ReplyDelete