The two-page analysis of the survey, tagged: “Straw Prediction of 2015 Presidential Election”, made available to Journalists by Dr. Peter Orji, gave Buhari/APC an estimated votes of 15.4 million and President Goodluck Jonathan of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 11 million.
The researchers stated that they arrived at the figures after “a careful study of the demographics of Nigeria voting patterns,based on an unbiased analysis of how voters shall cast their votes.”
According to the group, Buhari would lead in the North-East, North- West, North-Central and South-West, while Jonathan would win in the South-South and South-East.
The survey said Buhari would eventually have an upper hand going by heavy votes he would record in his catchment areas against Jonathan, who the survey said, would garner fewer votes in his areas of strength.
However, unlike 2011, General Buhari, the survey said, “will secure substantial votes in the North-Central and greatly improve his showing in the South-East.”
The survey summed up the distribution of the votes across the zones thus: “North-Central, PDP, 1.73million, APC, 1.86million. North-East, PDP, 1.3million, APC, 2.55million. North- West, PDP 2.15million, APC, 5.65million. South-East, PDP 1.65million, APC, 650,000. South-South, PDP, 2,.2million APC, 1.7million. South- West, PDP, 2million, APC, 2.9million. FCT, PDP, 150,000, APC, 200,000.
In summary, the survey revealed that, “the APC candidate will carry all the states in North-West and North- East and will win marginally in North- Central,” saying, “the margin of victory for Gen. Buhari is a staggering 4.4million votes and it is impossible for President Jonathan to close such a margin.”
What would boost Buhari’s victory in the North-East and North-West, the poll explained, would largely be due to expected increase in the voters’ turnout, “whilst the turnout in the South-East and South-South is likely to decrease.
The simple explanation, according to the group, “is that the North-East, North-West and South-West zones feel that their sons, Buhari and Osinbanjo, are on the APC ticket and considering the number of votes accruing to the three zones, Jonathan will find it absolutely impossible to fill the gap.”
While concluding, the group said that, “because of the postponement that occurred five weeks ago, a repeat this time will not go down well with Nigerians who very likely will accuse the administration of having its hand in disrupting the process, and because of the tight timelines to avoid a possible constitutional crisis a shift in the elections this time may become impossible to contemplate.”
Also see.. March 28 Poll: UK Firm's Survey Rates Jonathan Ahead Of Buhari Click to signup for FREE news updates, latest information and hottest gists everyday
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All these APC surveys that usually place an illiterate ahead of a competent graduate will be humiliated in 8 days time.
ReplyDeleteGraduate indeed. Will rather have an illiterate revive the economy than a fake graduate who took a seat in the treasury looting us blind.
DeleteLets wait till den...competent graduate indeed..
ReplyDeleteTell them
ReplyDeletewat makes u a competent graduate is corruption u are a potential illiterate for saying that.
ReplyDeleteWhat is the relevance of a graduate if he cannot proffer solutions to nagging problems.
ReplyDeleteGet your PVC ready and let your vote say the winner. No need for stories.
ReplyDeleteJonathan is and will remain an incompitent leader..that Nigerians must flush out of power....corruption is his most lovely act...
ReplyDeleteSai Buhari
ReplyDeleteTo God be the glory, The Father and Rock of Ages, The Monarch of the universe, The Lion of Nigeria, The Man of battle, The One who takes permission from no man, The One who clothed GEJ the with his garment of Favour. To you alone we all Nigerian bow to worship and glorify your name having done this good thing for us. We thank you for given him (GEJ) the wisdom, knowledge and understanding to lead Nigeria in your fear. We are all one irrespective of the parties we belong, working together in unity to build our nation in love. Thank you heavenly Father, to you be all the praises and glory forevermore Amen.
ReplyDeleteFor most of you who see nothing wrong with the present administration, on in deep sympathy was you. Time comes in the future that your children will question you on what role you played.
ReplyDeleteI pray everyday for God Almighty to lift us out of this quagmire. It has never been this bad!
Looks like you don't understand. Nobody says there is nothing wrong with this administration. The problem is that there is something worse with the alternative Buhari. In other countries, a former dictator, coup plotter and summary executor has nothing to do with democracy. Where is the proof he has turned a new 🍁. What do you say about the quality of people propping him up? Well known corrupt people. How will he handle them after he has won? You are very correct the way you ended. Only God can save this nation.
DeleteI wonder if they don't have eyes, ears, nose and brain. This is the worst govt in Nigeria's history. 2011 election was a big mistake and a wasted mandate. Sai! Baba. O.J
DeleteAll APC Leaders are Criminal and Over corrupt people that defected from PDP. Now that PDP are left with Good and Honourables we wish to work with GEJ to complete his transformation agenda,.Recent Documentary prove Tinubu, Ameachi,Fashola and John O party Chaiman of APC are Corrupt and Cultist from darkness and cannot bring light to Nigerians.
DeleteBuhari pls go and sleep , GEJ administration is Ok. Stop heating the polity , We Nigerians will not vote for you but Goodluck because APC is Buhari Badluck.
ReplyDeleteYou are as confused as GEJ
DeleteIt has been ordained that Buhari will be democratically elected to be our next president.Pls be patriotic and Vote wisely for our dear nation,Nigeria.It has been so bad for the nation yet the idiots are still praying for Gej to come back.Pls forget sentiment.I voted him (GEJ) in 2011 thinking his level of education will transform Nigeria but Oga jona has prooved me wrong with his poor performance.He can not get my vote again.
ReplyDeleteLittle to say, much to act." NIGERIA EVIL MEN WILL NOT RULE YOU AGAIN"!!!!. If prophesy from genuine men of God is something to go by, come 29/05/2015 GEJ will be sworn in for another 4years. If Buhari like let him go and bring ISSI, ALSHA'ABAB, ALQUAIDA etc. Nigeria will survive.
ReplyDeleteMUMU, GMB is not bringing all that, this are the few among what his bringing as a president job opportunity, good health care, power, free education, good road, and these are the things his taking away, corruption, insecurity, poverty, bad leadership, stealing, poor governance. Etc.
Deletewho is we Nigerian? please speak for yourself and family, as for me and my family if they still want to have their allowances, we shall vote for BUHARI. LO BA TAN. We did the same for GEJ four years ago but he did not perform to expectations. corruption is order of the day. PEOPLE SHOULD VOTE WISELY NOW, IF BUHARI FAIL TO PERFORM, WE SHALL VOTE HIM OUT IN FOUR YEARS TIME, TILL WE GET OUR SAVIOUR. BE GUIDED.
ReplyDeleteMr stupid anonymous 2:25 PM you're worst than GEJ people like you will go to hell.. Nonsense illiterate corruption " bringbackourgirls" idiot bloody PDP supporters..... Sai Buhari
ReplyDeleteI never knew blood is this sweet until now. How I wish you could see into the future and realise your children would wake up one day and suck your blood for selling their future. I would rather stick with this man GMB and ne accountable. Rather retain this man taking us back to colonisation.
ReplyDeleteIs only a fool like you that can call someone MUMU, why do you Anonymous yourself, if you think you are good in insulting integrity. that is how your bitterness will follow you till GEJ will be sworn in come 29th May 2015. what do we have to do with fanatics as president of our great country. pls use your brain to think and not other. If democracy is good why do your Buhari truncated one?
ReplyDeleteyou guys dont need to insult yourselves just collect your pvc and vote for your choice.......a driver that drive us for many years that cannot take us to half of our journey and some people in the bus are saying continue,while some are saying stop let another driver drive.....but in all if gej win is not going to be business as ususal for him.nigerian will expect him to do thing differently from 1999 till now
ReplyDelete